Soaring U.S. Budget Deficit Will Mean Billions More in Bond Sales

April 23, 2009 by · Leave a Comment
Filed under: Currency News 

This is going to get out of control over time unless we really start to reduce government spending or we are going to flood the market with dollars and it will make us have to make some very tough choices in the future which could include and official devaluation of our currency.   Currently the jobs market is the biggest thing dragging down the U.S. economy.  Credit availability is still a huge issue but even if that comes back, I am not sure if we would want that to flow back into the areas of the economy where a large part of the jobs have been lost (Finance, Real Estate and home construction).  

News (Bloomberg):

Millions of lost jobs mean billions in lost tax revenue for the U.S. government, and billions in additional Treasury debt to fund a federal budget deficit that may soar to more than four times last year’s record $454.7 billion.

Employers cut 3.7 million positions from their payrolls in the six months since the fiscal year began Oct. 1, and the unemployment rate reached a 25-year high of 8.5 percent in March. That suggests receipts for April – the biggest month for tax collection — are likely to come in well below April 2008, analysts said.

With spending on unemployment insurance and other safety- net programs rising, the deficit is already at a record $956.8 billion six months into the fiscal year. To help close that gap, the Treasury Department has more than quadrupled borrowing, pushing the government deeper into debt.

“Tax receipts are just collapsing,” said Chris Ahrens, head of interest-rate strategy at UBS Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut, one of 16 primary dealers required to bid at Treasury auctions. The need to sell more debt “is a big issue in the Treasury market and it is ongoing. The surging budget deficit is the primary cause.”

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